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A.I., Crypto & Tech Stocks
Expert Bitcoin Price Forecasts for 2026: Volatility Expected Amid Institutional Shift
As of early January 2026, Bitcoin trades around $91,000, approximately 30% below its all-time high of over $126,000 reached in October 2025.
Last year's market experienced significant ups and downs, fueled by a perceived pro-crypto regulatory environment in the U.S., growing institutional involvement, and the rise of digital asset treasury companies holding large Bitcoin reserves. However, a late-2025 sell-off, driven by broader risk asset reassessment, AI stock debates, and forced liquidations, created a challenging starting point for 2026.
Experts highlight a complex landscape: stretched equity valuations, shifting monetary policy, geopolitical uncertainties, and ongoing transition from retail-driven to institutional liquidity. Despite these headwinds, many anticipate potential upside from lower interest rates, Bitcoin ETF inflows, clearer U.S. regulations, and continued institutional adoption. Predictions reflect high expected volatility.
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Key Expert Predictions for Bitcoin in 2026
Youwei Yang, Chief Economist at Bit Mining: $75,000–$225,000 Yang foresees a wide range due to macroeconomic and geopolitical factors, but views 2026 as potentially strong with supportive rate cuts and crypto-friendly regulation.
Sidney Powell, CEO of Maple Finance: $175,000 Powell points to interest rate reductions and rising institutional adoption. He highlights a potential milestone: Bitcoin-backed lending surpassing $100 billion, reducing selling pressure as holders borrow against assets.
Standard Chartered (Geoff Kendrick, Head of Digital Asset Research): $150,000 Revised down from $300,000, reflecting paused buying by digital asset treasury companies. Kendrick expects Bitcoin ETFs to become the primary price driver.
CoinShares (James Butterfill, Head of Research): $120,000–$170,000 More upward momentum likely in the second half, influenced by the new Fed chair (expected dovish) and potential passage of the Clarity Act for digital asset regulation.
Carol Alexander, Professor of Finance at University of Sussex: $75,000–$150,000 (center around $110,000) Bitcoin stays in a high-volatility range as the market adjusts to institutionally dominated liquidity.
Nexo (Iliya Kalchev, Analyst): $150,000–$200,000 Long-term holders finish selling accumulated positions, paving the way for rising institutional allocations and potential new highs under supportive financial conditions.
Industry commentators agree that 2026 will likely feature substantial price swings, influenced by regulatory developments, Federal Reserve actions, ETF performance, and broader economic shifts. While risks like inflation surprises or policy missteps persist, factors such as institutional demand and Bitcoin's role as a non-sovereign asset could provide support.
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